Welcome to this week's deep dive into the world of high-end automobiles. Today, we're putting the Maserati GranTurismo under our analytical microscope, revealing why this Italian beauty is not just a feast for the eyes, but also a remarkably stable investment in the ever-fluctuating luxury car market. Over the past week I rented one as a daily driver in Napa Valley California and it was fantastic. If I were to recommend a daily driver that had exotic flair and great sound for almost nothing, this would be it.

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Price Analysis: The GranTurismo's Resilient Value Proposition

Over the past year, the Maserati GranTurismo has demonstrated exceptional price stability, a rare trait in the luxury automotive sector. Let's break down the numbers:

• Average Price: $42,484

• Median Price: $42,454

• Price Range: $39,331 (Week of 05/20/24) to $46,359 (Week of 12/04/23)

• Standard Deviation: $1,614 (only 3.8% of the mean price)

• Total Price Fluctuation: 17.9% between lowest and highest points

Key Observations:

1. The close alignment of mean and median prices indicates a symmetrical distribution, suggesting consistent pricing across the market.

2. The low standard deviation reinforces the GranTurismo's price stability, with most prices clustering tightly around the mean.

3. Despite some fluctuations, the overall price trend has remained remarkably stable, especially when compared to other luxury models that often see more dramatic depreciation.

Supply Dynamics: A Market in Perfect Balance

The supply of GranTurismos has shown interesting patterns:

• Lowest Supply: 23 units (Week of 10/16/23)

• Peak Supply: 204 units (Week of 06/03/24)

• Current Supply: 151 units (Week of 10/14/24)

• Average Supply: 139 units

Supply Trend Analysis:

1. We observed a steady increase in supply from October 2023 to June 2024, potentially indicating increased market confidence or release of inventory.

2. Despite a 786% increase from lowest to peak supply, prices remained stable, suggesting robust demand absorbing the additional inventory.

3. Recent months show a slight contraction in supply, which could lead to upward price pressure if demand remains constant.

Mileage: Consistent Quality Across the Board

The mileage data provides insights into the overall condition of available GranTurismos:

• Average Mileage: 34,338 miles

• Mileage Range: 32,038 (Week of 12/25/23) to 38,613 miles (Week of 04/01/24)

• Median Mileage: 34,244 miles

Mileage Insights:

1. The tight mileage range suggests a consistent usage pattern among GranTurismo owners, likely as weekend or special occasion vehicles.

2. We see a slight increase in average mileage during summer months, indicating seasonal driving preferences.

3. The consistent mileage across inventory suggests that buyers can expect similar wear and condition regardless of when they enter the market.

Market Trends and In-Depth Analysis

1. Seasonal Patterns:

   • Spring Price Bump: Average price in March-April 2024 was $43,085, 1.4% above the yearly average.

   • Summer Stability: June-August 2024 saw prices hold steady at an average of $41,929.

   • These patterns suggest optimal buying opportunities in late winter and late summer.

2. Price-Supply Correlation:

   • Calculated Pearson correlation coefficient: -0.15

   • This weak negative correlation indicates that increased supply has only a minor downward effect on prices, showcasing the GranTurismo's robust demand.

3. Price Elasticity:

   • Comparing weeks with highest and lowest supply:

     • Highest supply (204 units): $40,923

     • Lowest supply (23 units): $40,174

   • The minimal price difference despite significant supply changes further emphasizes the model's stability.

4. Value Retention:

   • Over the 52-week period, the GranTurismo depreciated by only 1.2% (from $40,174 to $40,674).

   • Compared to an industry average of 15-20% first-year depreciation for luxury cars, the GranTurismo's value retention is exceptional.

5. Market Position:

   • With an average price of $42,484, the GranTurismo offers an accessible entry point into the high-end sports car market.

   • It's positioned well below newer Maserati models but above mass-market sports cars, occupying a sweet spot for value-conscious luxury buyers.

Investment Potential: The GranTurismo's Compelling Case

1. Stability Metric: Calculating the coefficient of variation (standard deviation / mean) yields 0.038, indicating extremely low volatility compared to other luxury models.

2. Depreciation Resistance: The mere 1.2% price drop over a year suggests the GranTurismo may be approaching the bottom of its depreciation curve, making it a potentially lucrative investment.

3. Supply-Demand Equilibrium: The market's ability to absorb significant supply increases without price drops indicates a loyal, steady demand base.

4. Potential for Appreciation: Given its stability at the current price point and Maserati's move towards electrification, the GranTurismo could see increased collector interest, potentially driving future price increases.

Conclusion: The GranTurismo - A Masterclass in Market Stability

The Maserati GranTurismo emerges as a beacon of stability in the often turbulent luxury car market. Its remarkable price consistency, coupled with a balanced supply-demand dynamic, positions it as an attractive option for both enthusiasts and investors.

Key Takeaways:

1. Exceptional price stability with only 3.8% standard deviation

2. Resilient value proposition, depreciating only 1.2% over the year

3. Consistent quality across available inventory, with predictable mileage ranges

4. Strong demand absorbing supply fluctuations without significant price impacts

For those seeking to combine the thrill of Italian engineering with sound financial sense, the data overwhelmingly supports the Maserati GranTurismo as a prime candidate. It offers the rare combination of emotional satisfaction and logical investment potential in the luxury automotive space.

As always, we recommend personally experiencing the GranTurismo and consulting with financial advisors before making any investment decisions. However, from our data-driven perspective, the GranTurismo presents a compelling case for consideration in any luxury car portfolio.

Stay tuned for next week's newsletter, where we'll explore another fascinating model in the luxury car market!

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